COUNTER THREAT CENTER

Reports & Analysis

Introducing the COUNTER THREAT CENTER (CTC) from Paladin 7 and The Counterterrorism Group for Security Professionals, Law Enforcement, and Military Personnel working daily to counter threats.

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Read some of our latest Intelligence & Analytical Reports below:

THREAT CLIMATE ASSESSMENT: JAMA’AT NUSRAT AL-ISLAM WAL-MUSLIMIN AND THE ISLAMIC STATE SAHEL PROVINCE TARGET LOCAL SAHEL MINING COMMUNITIES AND GOLD MINES, LIKELY FUNDING ONGOING EXPANSION EFFORTS

Amelia Bell, Cora Jordan, Giovanni Lamberti, Mackenzie LaCombe, Sophie Rieckmann, Ana Mertz, Katherine Sanchez, Eduardo Velázquez Jurado Giovanni Lamberti, Editor; Jennifer Loy, Chief Editor September 30, 2026 African Insurgency[1] BLUF Jama’at Nusrat al-Islam wal-Muslimin (JNIM) and the Islamic State Sahel Province (ISSP) activities have escalated from localized extortion and attacks targeting individual gold mines in Burkina Faso to sustained control over mining communities

24 hours ago5 min read

THREAT CLIMATE ASSESSMENT: JAMA’AT NUSRAT AL-ISLAM WAL-MUSLIMIN AND THE ISLAMIC STATE SAHEL PROVINCE TARGET LOCAL SAHEL MINING COMMUNITIES AND GOLD MINES, LIKELY FUNDING ONGOING EXPANSION EFFORTS

24 hours ago5 min read

HURRICANE POLO CAUSES FATAL FLOODING IN JALISCO, MEXICO, AND THREATENS NORTHWESTERN PACIFIC COAST, STRAINING EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT AND SECURITY RESOURCES

(The Hazards Incident Report [HIR] is a near-real-time brief on international hazards and events that are being closely monitored by The Counter Threat Center. The information is accurate at the time of reporting, but may be subject to change.) Basma Aamri, Hermione Goux, Rebecca Davis, Jared Carvente, WATCH Team Chloe Pentz, Editor; Elena Alice Rossetti, Senior Editor September 28, 2026 Hurricane Hitting Coastal Area[1] Day/Time of Event: September 28, 2026 Location: Off th

2 days ago3 min read

IN GERMANY, AUTHORITIES ARRESTED A SUSPECTED ISIS SUPPORTER AND IN THE NETHERLANDS, VIOLENCE BROKE OUT BETWEEN PROTESTERS AND RIOT POLICE

September 17-23, 2026 | Issue 38 - EUCOM Team Benjamin Southern-Thomas, Sofia Vilas, Cecilia Cox, Chiara Michieli Vrindha Giritharan, Editor; Ben Gentemann, Senior Editor Handcuffs[1] Date: September 17, 2026 Location: Barnim District, Brandenburg State, Germany Parties involved: Germany; German Federal Minister of the Interior Alexander Dobrindt; German Federal Police; border guards; authorities; Christian communities; parish communities; religious communities; religious i

4 days ago3 min read

MEXICAN AUTHORITIES DISCOVERED A CLANDESTINE TAP ON THE TUXPAN-AZCAPOTZALCO PIPELINE, AND A US GOVERNMENT CYBERSECURITY STUDY IDENTIFIED RESOURCE GAPS LIMITING STATE AND LOCAL CYBER THREAT PROTECTION

September 10-16, 2026 | Issue 37 - NORTHCOM Team Troy Scott Jr., Vanessa Neubauer, Maya Kerr Coste, Dominic Perfetti, Noah Clarke, Matthew George, Laura Ospina, Sarah Granados, Aristide Devevey, Sharon Preci Olivia Turnbull, Embedded Editor; Clémence Van Damme, Senior Editor Underground Pipeline Infrastructure[1] Date: September 10, 2026 Location: Axapusco, Mexico State, Mexico Parties involved: Mexico; physical security of Mexico’s state-owned petroleum company Petróleos M

Sep 183 min read

OSINT TOOLKIT: URLSCAN.IO, A WEB SCANNING TOOL THAT CAPTURES WEBSITE EVIDENCE AND SAFELY ANALYZES SUSPICIOUS URLS

Martina Elena Nitti, Agustin Isidro, Sinead O’Carroll, OSINT-RDT Team Matlhatse Saadiyah Letsoalo, Editor; Jennifer Loy, Chief Editor September 13, 2026 Industry: Cyber Intelligence, Security Services (The Open Source Intelligence [OSINT] Toolkit is a report to help teach about various OSINT tools that can be used by Threat, Security, Intelligence, and Investigative Professionals [TSIIPs]. The data in this report is accurate as of the publication date.) URL Analysis[1] What i

Sep 146 min read

A SUDANESE OFFICIAL ACCUSED THE RSF OF OPERATING A UAE-SUPPORTED MILITARY TRAINING CAMP IN ETHIOPIA AND LIBYAN AUTHORITIES ARRESTED INDIVIDUALS ASSOCIATED WITH DRONE ATTACKS ON ENERGY INFRASTRUCTURE

September 03-09, 2026 | Issue 36 - AFRICOM Katherine Sanchez, Sasha Sánchez, Blaise Liess II, Eduardo Velázquez Jurado, Mackenzie LaCombe, Cora Jordan, Amelia Bell, Sophie Rieckmann Giovanni Lamberti, Editor; Jennifer Loy, Chief Editor Military Training Camp[1] Date: September 3, 2026 Location: Sudan Parties involved: Sudanese President General Abdel Fattah al-Burhan; Sudan; Sudanese Armed Forces (SAF); SAF’s 4th Infantry Division; Sudanese official; Kurmuk commissioner Abdel

Sep 133 min read

IN NIGERIA, KIDNAPPERS COLLECTED $5.8 MILLION IN RANSOMS, AND PAKISTAN-BASED TERRORISTS USED ADULT ENCRYPTED PLATFORMS TO COMMUNICATE WITH RECRUITS IN INDIA

August 27- September 2, 2026 | Issue 35 - AFRICOM and PACOM Teams Alexandra Valdez, Dominic Perfetti, Sharon Preci, Blaise Liess, Noah Clarke, Cora Jordan Sofía Vilas, Embedded Editor; Ben Joshua Gentemann, Junior Editor; Clémence Van Damme, Senior Editor Kidnapping[1] Date: August 27, 2026 Location: Nigeria Parties involved: Nigeria; government; state governments; state governors; local security actors; bandit networks; illicit networks; bandit groups; armed groups; armed gr

Sep 63 min read

IN THE PHILIPPINES, TROPICAL CYCLONES LUIS AND MAYMAY AND THE SOUTHWEST MONSOON AFFECTED 3.7M PEOPLE, KILLING 21, AND IN BELGIUM, A WILDFIRE BURNED 3,000 HECTARES, FORCING LOCALS TO EVACUATE

August 13-19, 2026 | Issue 33 - PACOM and EUCOM Teams Dominic Perfetti, Blaise Liess II, Sharon Preci, Cora Jordan, Noah Clarke, Sofía Vilas Ben Joshua Gentemann, Junior Editor; Clémence Van Damme, Senior Editor Typhoon[1] Date: August 13, 2026 Location: Philippines Parties involved: Philippines; people; at-risk populations; vulnerable populations; vulnerable communities; low-income populations; low-income families; poorer individuals; individuals susceptible to exploitation

Aug 223 min read

GERMAN AUTHORITIES DESCRIBED AS A POTENTIAL STATE-LINKED HYBRID THREAT THE DRONE NEAR A UKRAINIAN ANTONOV IN LEIPZIG AND IN COLOMBIA, FARC DISSIDENTS ATTACKED MUNICIPAL AND POLICE FACILITIES

August 6 - 12, 2026 | Issue 32 - EUCOM and SOUTHCOM Teams Christian Jackson, Chiara Michieli, Aristide Devevey, Leon Kille, Matthew George Giovanni Lamberti, Editor; Elena Alice Rossetti, Senior Editor Antonov Cargo Aircraft[1] Date: August 6, 2026 Location: Leipzig, Saxony State, Germany Parties involved: Germany; German authorities; authorities; state; NATO; NATO’s Strategic Airlift initiative; NATO’s Strategic Airlift International Solution (SALIS) programme; Ukraine; th

Aug 153 min read

COLOMBIA’S CHOCÓ DEPARTMENT HIT WITH 7.4 MAGNITUDE EARTHQUAKE: NATIONAL EMERGENCY DECLARED

(The Situation Update Report [SUR] is a near real-time brief of a possible threat or situation being monitored by The Counter Threat Center. The information is accurate at the time of reporting, but may be subject to change.) Jared Carvente, Rebecca Davis, Hermione Goux, Sasha Sánchez, Critical Reports Team Elena Alice Rossetti, Senior Editor August 10, 2026 Post-Earthquake Damages in an Urban Area[1] Current situation: A 7.4 magnitude earthquake with an epicenter in the

Aug 103 min read

A WILDFIRE PROMPTED EVACUATIONS IN THE NOUVELLE-AQUITAINE REGION IN FRANCE; AND IN ENGLAND, LAW ENFORCEMENT CHARGED A 19-YEAR-OLD INDIVIDUAL WITH SMUGGLING 165 MIGRANTS ON A DINGHY

July 23-29, 2026 | Issue 30 - EUCOM Team Chiara Michieli, Dominic Perfetti, Hermione Goux, Kendall McElwee, Matthew George, Leon Kille, Cora Jordan Jaydn Burgin, Embedded Editor; Ben Joshua Gentemann, Junior Editor; Elena Alice Rossetti, Senior Editor Wildfire[1] Date: July 23, 2026 Location: Nouvelle-Aquitaine Region, France Parties involved: France; national government; authorities; opposition parties; far-right political party National Rally (RN); political factions; voter

Aug 13 min read

ATTACKERS TARGETED A MILITARY BASE IN COLOMBIA THROUGH THE USE OF DRONES; AND IN SYRIA, UNIDENTIFIED GUNMEN CARRIED OUT HIT-AND-RUN ATTACKS AGAINST MINISTRY OF DEFENSE PERSONNEL

July 16-22, 2026 | Issue 29 - SOUTHCOM and CENTCOM Teams Giovanni Lamberti, Blaise Liess II, Christian Jackson, Lavinia Ansalone, Ilias Tzanetoulakos, Natalie Goldwasser Jaydn Burgin, Embedded Editor; Ben Joshua Gentemann, Junior Editor; Elena Alice Rossetti, Senior Editor Drone Approaching[1] Date: July 16, 2026 Location: Tibù, Norte de Santander Department, Colombia Parties involved: Colombia; Colombian military; Colombian security forces; military; parent groups; illegal

Jul 253 min read

AN IDENTITARIAN MOVEMENT ACTIVIST WHO OCCUPIED THE HERMANNSDENKMAL WORKED WITH AFD MEMBERS OF THE EUROPEAN PARLIAMENT; AND IN BANGLADESH, AUTHORITIES ARRESTED MEMBERS OF AN ALLEGED ISLAMIST NETWORK

July 9- 15, 2026 | Issue 28 - EUCOM and PACOM Teams Cristiana Harless, Mackenzie LaCombe, Jared Carvente, Leon Kille, Lorenzo Calavaro, Aristide Devevey, Lucy Gibson, Europe & Pacific Teams Jaydn Burgin, Embedded Editor; Ben Joshua Gentemann, Junior Editor; Elena Alice Rossetti, Senior Editor Hermannsdenkmal[1] Date: July 9, 2026 Location: Düsseldorf, North Rhine-Westphalia State, Germany Parties involved: Germany; political party Alternative for Germany (AfD); AfD politic

Jul 194 min read

FLASH ALERT: INCREASED AIRSTRIKES ACROSS MIDDLE EAST HEIGHTEN REGIONAL TENSIONS; RISK OF FURTHER STRIKES, STRAINED DIPLOMATIC RELATIONS, CIVILIAN INFRASTRUCTURE ATTACKS, AND GLOBAL ENERGY SHOCK

Sharon Preci, Cora Jordan, Sasha Sánchez, Dominic Perfetti, Gehad Ahmed, Chiara Micheli, Cristiana Harless, Matthew George, Alexandra Valdez, Critical Reports Team Khushi Salian, Kendall McElwee Editor; Alessandro Portolano Junior Editor, Jennifer Loy, Chief Editor July 18, 2026 Explosion Near an Industrial Site[1] The Counterterrorism Group (CTG) is issuing a FLASH ALERT to government, military personnel, and civilians in Kuwait, Bahrain, Qatar, Jordan, Syria, and Oman,[2] f

Jul 1810 min read

IN SOUTH AFRICA, INCREASED VIOLENCE AGAINST FOREIGNERS FORCED MIGRANTS TO FLEE, AND IN VENEZUELA, AUTHORITIES CONSIDERED SELECTIVE VACCINATIONS TO LIMIT DISEASE OUTBREAKS AFTER EARTHQUAKES

July 2-8, 2026 | Issue 27 - AFRICOM and SOUTHCOM Teams Blaise Liess, Gehad Ahmed, Illias Tzanetoulakos, Julia Ruiz Redel, Lavinia Ansalone, Natalie Goldwasser, Noah Clarke, Rebecca Davis, Sharon Preci, Sofía Vilas Jaydn Burgin, Embedded Editor; Ben Gentemann, Junior Editor; Clémence Van Damme, Elena Alice Rossetti, Senior Editor Land Migration in Africa[1] Date: July 2, 2026 Location: South Africa Parties involved: South Africa; state; law enforcement; nationalist-populist u

Jul 124 min read

FLASH ALERT: RISK OF STATE REPRESSION HEIGHTENS AHEAD OF THE IRANIAN SUPREME LEADER’S FUNERAL PROCESSION

Sasha Sánchez, Kendall McElwee, Hermione Goux, Michela Sereno, Alexandra Valdez, Jared Carvente, Cristiana Harless, Alessandro Portolano, Critical Reports Team Khushi Salian, Giovanni Lamberti, Embedded Editor; Alessandro Portolano, Junior Editor; Jennifer Loy, Chief Editor July 4, 2026 Iranian Flag[1] The Counterterrorism Group (CTG) is issuing a FLASH ALERT to residents in the Iranian cities selected for the state funeral of Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei following the Islamic

Jul 49 min read

WORLD CUP INCIDENT REPORT: INCREASED RISK OF LONE ACTOR ATTACKS IN FAN ZONES

(The World Cup Incident Report [WCIP] is a near-real-time brief on potential World Cup threats closely monitored by The Counter Threat Center. The information is accurate at the time of reporting, but may be subject to change.) Agathe Labadi, Brendan Malcarne, Matthew George, World Cup Task Force Elena Alice Rossetti, Senior Editor June 29, 2026 Soccer Watch Party[1] Day/Time of Event: June 29, 2026 / 0012 EST Location: San Pedro Square, San Jose, California, US Fixture: Non

Jun 292 min read

RUTTE ANNOUNCED NATO WILL REDUCE KFOR TROOPS IN KOSOVO FOLLOWING IMPROVED SECURITY, AND SCOTLAND'S COUNTER TERRORISM POLICING TOOK OVER THE INVESTIGATION INTO SUSPECTED ANTI-MUSLIM ATTACKS

June 18-24, 2026 | Issue 25 - EUCOM Team Sofía Vilas, Chiara Michieli, Alexia Andrica, Jaydn Burgin, Fleur van Gorp Devendra Mahto, Editor; Alessandro Portolano, Junior Editor; Clémence Van Damme, Senior Editor KFOR Troops Patrolling the Kosovo-Serbian Border[1] Date: June 17, 2026 Location: Brussels, Belgium Parties involved: Kosovo; Kosovo Security Force (KSF); Northern Kosovo municipalities; Serb-majority municipalities; ethnic Serb communities; local paramilitary groups;

Jun 273 min read

WORLD CUP INCIDENT REPORT: HEIGHTENED ACTIVITY FROM MEXICAN CARTELS THREATENS WORLD CUP CELEBRATIONS

(The World Cup Incident Report [WCIP] is a near-real-time brief on potential World Cup threats closely monitored by The Counter Threat Center. The information is accurate at the time of reporting, but may be subject to change.) Agathe Labadi, Brendan Malcarne, Matthew George, Sasha Sánchez, World Cup Task Force Devendra Mahto, Editor; Elena Alice Rossetti, Senior Editor June 26, 2026 Soccer Field[1] Day/Time of Event: From June 11 to July 19, 2026 Location: Mexico Fixture: Me

Jun 272 min read

CHINA'S MINI TAIPEI AT ZHURIHE: LONG-TERM MILITARY PREPARATION AND THE SHORT-TERM GAP BETWEEN COERCIVE SIGNALING AND INVASION RISK

Martina Elena Nitti, Cristiana Harless, Kendall McElwee, Martina Guerrero, OSINT-RDT Team Alessandro Portolano, Editor; Jennifer Loy, Chief Editor June 21, 2026 Mini-Taipei Site in Inner Mongolia, China[1] Key judgments China’s development of a large-scale training site resembling key sites in Taipei likely signals continued coercive pressure and the People’s Liberation Army (PLA)’s preparation for potential military operations against Taiwan. Recent satellite imagery reve

Jun 227 min read

WEST SHORE ROYAL CANADIAN MOUNTED POLICE OPENS INVESTIGATIONS INTO CHILD EXPLOITATION CASES LINKED TO 764, AND HANDALA LEVERAGES ALLEGED FBI SURVEILLANCE ACCESS TO THREATEN WORLD CUP PARTICIPANTS

June 12-18, 2026 | Issue 23 - NORTHCOM Team Michela Sereno, Julia Ruiz Redel, Dominic Perfetti, Sharon Preci, Matthew George, Noah Clarke, Aristide Devevey, Jacob Robison Khushi Salian, Embedded Editor; Alessandro Portolano, Junior Editor; Clémence Van Damme, Senior Editor Social Media Network[1] Date: June 10, 2026 Location: West Shore, British Columbia Province, Canada Parties involved: Canada; West Shore Royal Canadian Mounted Police (RCMP); law enforcement; online

Jun 203 min read

IMMINENT WARNING: CREDIBLE THREATS PROMPT SEATTLE TO LINK CLOSED-CIRCUIT TELEVISION (CCTV) TO REAL-TIME CRIME CENTER (RTCC) FOR THE WORLD CUP

Giovanni Lamberti, Cora Jordan, Alexandra Valdez, Blaise Liess, Maxime De Crop, Bhavya Jain, Amelia Bell Alessandro Portolano, Ben Gentemann, Jaydn Burgin Editor; Elena Alice Rossetti, Senior Editor June 9, 2026 System Monitoring[1] Event: On June 5, 2026, Seattle Mayor Katie Wilson publicly explained her decision to activate 22 CCTV cameras and connect them to Seattle’s Real Time Crime Center (RTCC) in Pioneer Square and the South of Downtown (SODO) neighborhood ahead of the

Jun 94 min read

IN INDONESIA, THE WEST PAPUA NATIONAL LIBERATION ARMY KILLED EIGHT, AND IN AUSTRALIA, THE ROYAL COMMISSION ON ANTISEMITISM AND SOCIAL COHESION CONDEMNED ONLINE HARASSMENT AGAINST JEWISH WITNESSES

May 21-27, 2026 | Issue 21 - PACOM Team Brendan Malcarne, Lucy Gibson, Nimaya Premachandra, PACOM Team Devendra Mahto, Editor; Elena Alice Rossetti, Senior Editor Indonesian Jungle[1] Date: May 21, 2026 Location: Yakuhimo, Highland Papua Province, Indonesia Parties involved: Indonesia; Indonesian National Armed Forces (TNI); TNI forces; TNI security officers; military officers; troops; victims; Indonesian Strategic Intelligence Agency; insurgent group West Papua National Li

May 313 min read

FRENCH AUTHORITIES INVESTIGATED WHETHER AN ISRAELI FIRM WAS INVOLVED IN AN INTERFERENCE CAMPAIGN AGAINST POLITICIANS, AND UKRAINE LAUNCHED A LARGE-SCALE STRIKE AGAINST TARGETS IN MOSCOW

May 14-20, 2026 | Issue 20 - EUCOM Team Sofia Vilas, Chiara Michieli, Fleur Van Gorp, Leon Kille Alexia Andrica, Editor; Elena Alice Rossetti, Senior Editor Online Interference Campaign[1] Date: May 13, 2026 Location: France Parties involved: France; Direction Générale de la Sécurité Intérieure (DGSI); Service for Vigilance and Protection against Foreign Digital Interference (VIGINUM); far-left party La France Insoumise (LFI); centrist party Renaissance; center-left parties;

May 243 min read